Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-3 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.8
Over
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.72
No
45%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
2%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio The Market 43%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.49
1.33 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
Strong Attack Strength Great
Bad Defense Strength Bad
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
04.10.2025 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
01.02.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-3 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
17.08.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 6-0 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
08.03.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-2 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
01.08.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
03.03.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4 - 3
AWAY CD Tapatio
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CD Tapatio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Alebrijes de Oaxaca nicked a narrow win over CD Tapatio 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

A gentle 41% lean on CD Tapatio didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, CD Tapatio saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 17-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Alebrijes de Oaxaca against 2.00 for CD Tapatio.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CD Tapatio Result & Final Score

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4 - 3 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CD Tapatio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 32%, draw 28%, CD Tapatio 41%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Tapatio), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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