Fakel 0-0 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.6
No
51%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-0.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
34%
+15.0pp
51%
BTTS No
66%
-15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 16%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.35/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.76
-18% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.08.2025 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS1
FAQ Fakel vs Chernomorets
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fakel and Chernomorets played out a goalless draw in the Russia - FNL on 14 Mar 2026. Neither side could find a way through.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Chernomorets?

Fakel 0-0 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Fakel 62%, draw 21%, Chernomorets 17%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fakel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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