Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.8pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Kostroma
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chayka
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.09.2025 Chayka Chayka 2-4 HT 1-2 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Kostroma
1-1
AWAY Chayka
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Spartak Kostroma vs Chayka
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Spartak Kostroma and Chayka shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Russia - FNL on 14 Mar 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Spartak Kostroma had 51% of the ball to Chayka's 49%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Spartak Kostroma vs Chayka?

Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Kostroma vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Spartak Kostroma 56%, draw 27%, Chayka 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Kostroma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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