Buriram United 5-0 Chonburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
77%
1.3
Draw
14%
5.0
Away
9%
7.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
45%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
1%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Buriram United The Market 77%
Signal
AWAY Chonburi The Market 14%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.45 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.80
0.76 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.91
Great Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
412 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 78%
33 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chonburi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.80 xG 1.21
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
330 Passes 247
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Chonburi Chonburi 4-2 HT 1-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
10.03.2024 Chonburi Chonburi 1-1 HT 0-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
29.01.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 2-0 HT 1-0 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
27.08.2022 Chonburi Chonburi 2-3 HT 1-3 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
09.03.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 2-1 HT 1-0 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
13.11.2021 Chonburi Chonburi 2-0 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
5 - 0
AWAY Chonburi
3.45 xG 0.29
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 3
412 Passes 153
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
41 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Buriram United vs Chonburi
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Buriram United swept aside Chonburi 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (56%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 69% to 31% in Buriram United's favour, shots finished 24-3, expected goals 3.45 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Buriram United against 1.67 for Chonburi.

Buriram United vs Chonburi Result & Final Score

Buriram United 5 - 0 Chonburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Buriram United vs Chonburi Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 77%, draw 14%, Chonburi 9%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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