Rhode Island 1-1 Sporting JAX — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Mar 2026

Rhode Island
1-1 HT 0-0
Sporting JAX
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2026

Rhode Island vs Sporting JAX Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
15.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 24% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rhode Island v Sporting JAX — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting JAX EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-48% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.1 Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards –

Rhode Island 1-1 Sporting JAX — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
1-1
AWAY Sporting JAX
2.43 xG 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
298 Passes 188
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs Sporting JAX
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island and Sporting JAX shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rhode Island at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rhode Island had 58% of the ball to Sporting JAX's 42%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.43 to 0.33.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Sporting JAX?

Rhode Island 1-1 Sporting JAX in the USL Championship on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Sporting JAX?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 58%, draw 22%, Sporting JAX 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rhode Island), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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