Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Loudoun United v Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Team-Based Signals
Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Loudoun United
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
Loudoun United 2-3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Actual Match Statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds nicked a narrow win over Loudoun United 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Pittsburgh Riverhounds made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Loudoun United had 36% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 64%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.44 to 2.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pittsburgh Riverhounds's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Loudoun United and 1.67 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Loudoun United 2-3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 32%, draw 28%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.