Loudoun United 2-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 Apr 2025

Loudoun United
2-1 HT 1-0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2025

Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.35
6+ Goals
7%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Loudoun United v Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.51/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.16
-8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
16.8 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.59 xG 1.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
409 Passes 321
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
28.07.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
10.09.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-1 HT 2-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
29.05.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-1 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
05.09.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
03.04.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP

Loudoun United 2-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
2-1
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.64 xG 0.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
327 Passes 410
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 23
5 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United edged past Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Loudoun United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Loudoun United had 44% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 56%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.64 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Loudoun United and 1.83 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Loudoun United 2-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 44%, draw 28%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Loudoun United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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