Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartford Athletic v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-1
Hartford Athletic
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Hartford Athletic
USLP
Hartford Athletic 1-0 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Hartford Athletic edged past Birmingham Legion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hartford Athletic as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Hartford Athletic had 47% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 53%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.14 to 0.55.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hartford Athletic and 1.50 for Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?
Hartford Athletic 1-0 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 43%, draw 23%, Birmingham Legion 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartford Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.