Oakland Roots 2-0 Orange County SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.35
6+ Goals
9%
22.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 35% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
35%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.29/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.68
-12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
15.2 Crosses 13.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland Roots
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Orange County SC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.65 xG 1.49
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 Passes 338
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Orange County SC Orange County SC 4-2 HT 1-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
30.06.2024 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-2 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
19.05.2024 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 2-1 HT 1-1 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
05.10.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 3-1 HT 2-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
14.05.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 3-0 HT 2-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
02.06.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 3-2 HT 1-1 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oakland Roots
2-0
AWAY Orange County SC
1.74 xG 0.99
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
197 Passes 459
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakland Roots got the better of Orange County SC 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Orange County SC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Oakland Roots had 34% of the ball to Orange County SC's 66%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.74 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Oakland Roots and 1.67 for Orange County SC.

What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC?

Oakland Roots 2-0 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 29%, draw 28%, Orange County SC 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orange County SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orange County SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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