Orange County SC 4-2 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.21
6+ Goals
10%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.18/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.31
-20% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
17.1 Crosses 14.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orange County SC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Oakland Roots
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.21 xG 1.56
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 404
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-2 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
19.05.2024 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 2-1 HT 1-1 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
05.10.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 3-1 HT 2-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
14.05.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 3-0 HT 2-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
02.06.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 3-2 HT 1-1 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
08.05.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 2-2 HT 2-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orange County SC
4-2
AWAY Oakland Roots
2.32 xG 1.11
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
482 Passes 283
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC saw off Oakland Roots 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Orange County SC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orange County SC had 60% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 40%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.32 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orange County SC and 2.17 for Oakland Roots.

What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots?

Orange County SC 4-2 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 49%, draw 27%, Oakland Roots 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orange County SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orange County SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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