Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phoenix Rising v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
2-1
HT 0-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
4-0
HT 4-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
Phoenix Rising
USLP
Phoenix Rising 2-2 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising and Sacramento Republic shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 53% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 47%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.69 to 1.73.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.50 for Sacramento Republic.
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?
Phoenix Rising 2-2 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 39%, draw 23%, Sacramento Republic 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.