Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phoenix Rising v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
2-1
HT 0-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
4-0
HT 4-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
Phoenix Rising
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Phoenix Rising
ABDK
Phoenix Rising 1-1 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising and Sacramento Republic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Sacramento Republic at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 53% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 47%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.40 to 0.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.33 for Sacramento Republic.
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?
Phoenix Rising 1-1 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 31%, draw 24%, Sacramento Republic 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic), BTTS No went the other way.