Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sacramento Republic v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
2-1
HT 0-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
4-0
HT 4-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
Phoenix Rising
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
Sacramento Republic 2-0 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic got the better of Phoenix Rising 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sacramento Republic as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sacramento Republic had 44% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 56%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.06 to 0.89.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sacramento Republic and 1.00 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?
Sacramento Republic 2-0 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 44%, draw 26%, Phoenix Rising 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.