Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-2 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 14 Jul 2025

📅14/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +6%
1.51/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.43
-3% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.2 Crosses 14.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Loudoun United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.74 xG 0.65
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
326 Passes 415
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 Loudoun United Loudoun United 2-1 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
20.10.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
28.07.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
10.09.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-1 HT 2-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
29.05.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-1 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
05.09.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2-2
AWAY Loudoun United
2.22 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
298 Passes 343
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Loudoun United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 48% of the ball to Loudoun United's 52%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.22 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 0.83 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-2 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 49%, draw 27%, Loudoun United 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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