Kristianstads FF 4-1 Karlshamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.1
Over 2.5
64%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.8pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.0pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
44%
-8.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
56%
+8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristianstads FF EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.43/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.68
-38% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +20%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
426 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kristianstads FF
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Karlshamn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
07.07.2021 Karlshamn 3-2 HT 1-0 Kristianstads FF Kristianstads FF İSÇ4
23.06.2021 Kristianstads FF Kristianstads FF 0-1 HT 0-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
14.08.2020 Karlshamn 1-1 HT 1-0 Kristianstads FF Kristianstads FF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kristianstads FF
4-1
AWAY Karlshamn
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 5
15 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kristianstads FF vs Karlshamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristianstads FF swept aside Karlshamn 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kristianstads FF as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kristianstads FF had 62% of the ball to Karlshamn's 38%, shots finished 19-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Karlshamn led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kristianstads FF and 1.67 for Karlshamn.

What was the final score of Kristianstads FF vs Karlshamn?

Kristianstads FF 4-1 Karlshamn in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristianstads FF vs Karlshamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kristianstads FF win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kristianstads FF 55%, draw 17%, Karlshamn 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kristianstads FF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kristianstads FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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