Atletic America 0-5 Esperança dAndorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.9pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletic America EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Esperança dAndorra EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -68%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletic America
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Esperança dAndorra
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Atletic America 6-3 HT 0-2 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
14.01.2024 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletic America ANDK
01.10.2023 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletic America AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletic America
0-5
AWAY Esperança dAndorra
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletic America vs Esperança dAndorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esperança dAndorra swept aside Atletic America 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Atletic America at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Atletic America had 43% of the ball to Esperança dAndorra's 57%, shots finished 9-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletic America had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Atletic America and 2.00 for Esperança dAndorra.

What was the final score of Atletic America vs Esperança dAndorra?

Atletic America 0-5 Esperança dAndorra in the Andorra - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletic America vs Esperança dAndorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletic America win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletic America 42%, draw 26%, Esperança dAndorra 32%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletic America), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletic America) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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