Rapid Wien 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 27% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
20%
3.82
X/2
9%
10.15
X/X
12%
5.3
2/1
10%
23.15
2/2
9%
8.03
2/X
7%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.12/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.58
+17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 69%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
22.3 Crosses 13.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.48 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
382 Passes 268
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
22.10.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-3 HT 1-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
03.06.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
09.04.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-1 HT 1-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
22.10.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
31.07.2022 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
1-1
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
1.30 xG 0.27
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
391 Passes 189
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Austria Klagenfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien and Austria Klagenfurt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Wien at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 63% of the ball to Austria Klagenfurt's 37%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Klagenfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.33 for Austria Klagenfurt.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Rapid Wien 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt in the Austria - Bundesliga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 51%, draw 25%, Austria Klagenfurt 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rapid Wien), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
14 Apr 2024
15:30 Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Analysis →