Dinamo Brest 3-0 FC Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 33% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.71/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.23
+4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
428 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Brest
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Minsk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
02.06.2023 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
02.09.2022 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 3-1 HT 2-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
23.04.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
02.10.2021 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
22.05.2021 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Brest
3-0
AWAY FC Minsk
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Brest vs FC Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Brest ran out comfortable winners over FC Minsk 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Brest as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Dinamo Brest had 52% of the ball to FC Minsk's 48%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Brest had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dinamo Brest and 1.00 for FC Minsk.

What was the final score of Dinamo Brest vs FC Minsk?

Dinamo Brest 3-0 FC Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Brest vs FC Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Brest 50%, draw 26%, FC Minsk 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Brest), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Brest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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