Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1-3 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 33% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 55%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.20/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.22
-83% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 499 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
24.06.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 3-1 HT 2-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
29.10.2022 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
21.08.2021 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-4 HT 0-2 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
17.04.2021 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 4-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
20.09.2020 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-0 HT 0-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk
1-3
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr saw off Shakhtyor Soligorsk 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Slavia Mozyr as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shakhtyor Soligorsk had 46% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 54%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Mozyr led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shakhtyor Soligorsk and 1.17 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1-3 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Shakhtyor Soligorsk 27%, draw 25%, Slavia Mozyr 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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