Naftan Novopolotsk vs Smorgon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naftan Novopolotsk v Smorgon — Team-Based Signals
Naftan Novopolotsk vs Smorgon Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Smorgon
BLR
1-0
HT 0-0
Naftan Novopolotsk
BLR
0-1
HT 0-1
Smorgon
BLR1
Naftan Novopolotsk 1-1 Smorgon — Actual Match Statistics
Naftan Novopolotsk and Smorgon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Naftan Novopolotsk at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
On the day, Naftan Novopolotsk had 48% of the ball to Smorgon's 52%, shots finished 8-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Smorgon led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naftan Novopolotsk and 0.67 for Smorgon.
What was the final score of Naftan Novopolotsk vs Smorgon?
Naftan Novopolotsk 1-1 Smorgon in the Belarus - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naftan Novopolotsk vs Smorgon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naftan Novopolotsk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 45%, draw 23%, Smorgon 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naftan Novopolotsk), Over 2.5 went the other way.