Akademisk BK 2-1 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.78
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
63%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
5.05
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
14%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
26%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+8.2pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.6pp
63%
Away Win
73%
-9.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 77%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
0.77/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/1.02
-26% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akademisk BK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Esbjerg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-1 HT 2-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
02.09.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-3 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
27.05.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
30.04.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-2 HT 0-2 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
10.04.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
21.08.2022 Esbjerg Esbjerg 3-2 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akademisk BK
2-1
AWAY Esbjerg
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Akademisk BK vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akademisk BK edged past Esbjerg 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Esbjerg carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Akademisk BK had 40% of the ball to Esbjerg's 60%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esbjerg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Akademisk BK and 1.50 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of Akademisk BK vs Esbjerg?

Akademisk BK 2-1 Esbjerg in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akademisk BK vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Akademisk BK 18%, draw 19%, Esbjerg 63%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Esbjerg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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