Thisted 1-2 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.03/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.38
-21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Fremad Amager
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Thisted Thisted 3-3 HT 0-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
20.08.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 2-1 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager edged past Thisted 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Fremad Amager found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Thisted and 2.50 for Fremad Amager.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Fremad Amager?

Thisted 1-2 Fremad Amager in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Thisted 34%, draw 26%, Fremad Amager 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremad Amager), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
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