Avarta 1-2 Ishøj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avarta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ishøj EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.00/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.12
-29% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avarta
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ishøj
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2024 Avarta Avarta 0-1 HT 0-0 Ishøj DAN3
07.10.2023 Ishøj 1-1 HT 0-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avarta
1-2
AWAY Ishøj
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avarta vs Ishøj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ishøj edged past Avarta 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Ishøj made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avarta had 49% of the ball to Ishøj's 51%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ishøj led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Avarta and 1.00 for Ishøj.

What was the final score of Avarta vs Ishøj?

Avarta 1-2 Ishøj in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avarta vs Ishøj?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ishøj win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Avarta 31%, draw 30%, Ishøj 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ishøj), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ishøj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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