El Nacional vs Imbabura Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Imbabura — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Imbabura Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
El Nacional
EKV2
5-0
HT 1-0
Imbabura
EKV2
2-1
HT 2-0
El Nacional
EKV2
2-4
HT 2-2
Imbabura
EKV2
El Nacional 2-0 Imbabura — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional beat Imbabura 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had El Nacional as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, El Nacional had 49% of the ball to Imbabura's 51%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 0.89 to 0.76.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Imbabura led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for El Nacional and 2.25 for Imbabura.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Imbabura?
El Nacional 2-0 Imbabura in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Imbabura?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 51%, draw 27%, Imbabura 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Nacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.