Emelec 2-0 Cumbaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-10.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.1pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Cumbaya EU Bookmakers 12%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.67/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.47
-5% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +9%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 71%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.4
20.4 Crosses 10.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Cumbaya
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.33 xG 0.56
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
371 Passes 190
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Emelec Emelec 3-0 HT 1-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
07.05.2023 Cumbaya Cumbaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
03.09.2022 Emelec Emelec 1-0 HT 0-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
22.04.2022 Cumbaya Cumbaya 1-1 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
2-0
AWAY Cumbaya
0.64 xG 0.56
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
413 Passes 305
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 5
15 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Cumbaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec beat Cumbaya 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Emelec as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Emelec had 56% of the ball to Cumbaya's 44%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.64 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Emelec had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Emelec and 0.25 for Cumbaya.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Cumbaya?

Emelec 2-0 Cumbaya in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Cumbaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Emelec 63%, draw 23%, Cumbaya 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emelec), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Emelec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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