Uni. Catolica 2-2 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 14 Apr 2024

Uni. Catolica
2-2 HT 2-2
Independiente Del Valle
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
18%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.30/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.13
+26% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
12.1 Crosses 14.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.57 xG 1.59
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
222 Passes 443
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-1 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
01.04.2023 Uni. Catolica 2-3 HT 2-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
29.08.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-2 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
17.04.2022 Uni. Catolica 3-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
14.09.2021 Uni. Catolica 1-3 HT 1-3 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
11.07.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-3 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1

Uni. Catolica 2-2 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
2-2
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.70 xG 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 3
413 Passes 346
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica and Independiente Del Valle shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Uni. Catolica at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 55% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 45%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.70 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.67 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle?

Uni. Catolica 2-2 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 41%, draw 28%, Independiente Del Valle 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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