Clermont 1-1 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 14 Apr 2024

Clermont
1-1 HT 1-0
Montpellier
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Clermont vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 26% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.43
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
8%
6.83
X/2
10%
5.03
X/X
17%
5.27
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
19%
2.89
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Clermont v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.26/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.92
+8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +76%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.0 Crosses 22.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2

Clermont vs Montpellier Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Montpellier
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.68 xG 1.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
309 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.11.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 1-1 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
08.10.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 4-2 HT 2-2 Clermont Clermont FR1
19.03.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 2-1 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
06.11.2022 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
08.05.2022 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 1-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
05.12.2021 Montpellier Montpellier 1-0 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR1

Clermont 1-1 Montpellier — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
1-1
AWAY Montpellier
1.49 xG 1.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
400 Passes 374
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont and Montpellier couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Clermont had 51% of the ball to Montpellier's 49%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.49 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Clermont and 1.67 for Montpellier.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Montpellier?

Clermont 1-1 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 1 on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Montpellier?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Clermont 35%, draw 29%, Montpellier 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Montpellier) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier) ✓ BTTS Yes
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