Le Havre 0-1 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 14 Apr 2024

Le Havre
0-1 HT 0-0
Nantes
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Le Havre vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.81
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.54
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
22%
4.77
X/2
12%
6.09
X/X
8%
3.4
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.01
2/X
9%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Havre v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 32%
+24% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.64/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.09
+78% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
13.9 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Le Havre vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Nantes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.24 xG 1.34
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 10
266 Passes 487
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
23.02.2013 Nantes Nantes 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
21.09.2012 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR2
05.03.2012 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
01.10.2011 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR2
20.05.2011 Nantes Nantes 2-1 HT 2-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2

Le Havre 0-1 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
0-1
AWAY Nantes
1.43 xG 0.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
295 Passes 410
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes nicked a narrow win over Le Havre 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Le Havre at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Le Havre had 44% of the ball to Nantes's 56%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.43 to 0.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured Le Havre.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Le Havre and 1.17 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Nantes?

Le Havre 0-1 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 43%, draw 26%, Nantes 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Le Havre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Havre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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