Club America vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club America v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Club America
MEK
2-2
HT 2-1
Club America
MEK
1-1
HT 1-1
Toluca
MEK
2-1
HT 2-0
Club America
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Toluca
MEK
3-0
HT 3-0
Toluca
MEK
Club America 5-1 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Club America ran out comfortable winners over Toluca 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Club America had 43% of the ball to Toluca's 57%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 4.86 to 1.11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Toluca.
What was the final score of Club America vs Toluca?
Club America 5-1 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club America vs Toluca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Club America 47%, draw 28%, Toluca 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.