Pachuca vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Pachuca
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Guadalajara
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Pachuca
MEK
2-1
HT 2-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Pachuca
MEK
4-2
HT 0-1
Guadalajara
MEK
Pachuca 0-1 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara squeezed past Pachuca 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Pachuca at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Pachuca had 55% of the ball to Guadalajara's 45%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.91 to 0.37 — on chances, Pachuca could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pachuca and 0.83 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Guadalajara?
Pachuca 0-1 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 43%, draw 25%, Guadalajara 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.