Pachuca vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pachuca v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pachuca 0-1 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara shaded a tight game against Pachuca 1-0 on their travels.
We leaned Pachuca at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 55% to 45% in Pachuca's favour, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.91 to 0.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pachuca.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Pachuca against 0.83 for Guadalajara.
Pachuca vs Guadalajara Result & Final Score
Pachuca 0 - 1 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pachuca vs Guadalajara Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 45%, draw 27%, Guadalajara 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.