Monterrey 3-3 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.25/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.13
-24% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.3 Crosses 18.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.94 xG 0.81
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
259 Passes 356
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 3-0 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
09.08.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey CONLK
21.05.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 0-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
18.05.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
19.03.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
21.08.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 0-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
3-3
AWAY Tigres UANL
2.59 xG 1.76
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
494 Passes 300
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
42 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey and Tigres UANL shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Monterrey at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Monterrey had 60% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 40%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.59 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Monterrey and 0.83 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Tigres UANL?

Monterrey 3-3 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 44%, draw 27%, Tigres UANL 29%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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