Askollen 2-4 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.33
No
38%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.24
2-3 Goals
37%
2.21
4-5 Goals
29%
2.44
6+ Goals
16%
4.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
39%
-10.3pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
71%
-9.1pp
38%
BTTS No
29%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Askollen EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.95/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.00
-5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Askollen
2-4
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Askollen vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 II beat Askollen 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Askollen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Askollen had 47% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08 II's 53%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Askollen vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Askollen 2-4 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Askollen vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Askollen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Askollen 45%, draw 27%, Sarpsborg 08 II 28%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Askollen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Askollen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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