Fredrikstad II 0-1 Sprint Jelöy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.0pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sprint Jelöy EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.96/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/2.23
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad II
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Sprint Jelöy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2023 Fredrikstad II Fredrikstad II 1-2 HT 1-0 Sprint Jelöy Sprint Jelöy NOR4
14.05.2023 Sprint Jelöy Sprint Jelöy 2-0 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad II Fredrikstad II NOR4
01.08.2022 Fredrikstad II Fredrikstad II 1-2 HT 1-0 Sprint Jelöy Sprint Jelöy NOR4
19.04.2022 Sprint Jelöy Sprint Jelöy 2-2 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad II Fredrikstad II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad II
0-1
AWAY Sprint Jelöy
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad II vs Sprint Jelöy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sprint Jelöy nicked a narrow win over Fredrikstad II 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 21% / 40% — and on the day Sprint Jelöy made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fredrikstad II had 65% of the ball to Sprint Jelöy's 35%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sprint Jelöy led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fredrikstad II and 2.00 for Sprint Jelöy.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad II vs Sprint Jelöy?

Fredrikstad II 0-1 Sprint Jelöy in the Norway - 3rd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad II vs Sprint Jelöy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sprint Jelöy win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad II 39%, draw 21%, Sprint Jelöy 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sprint Jelöy) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sprint Jelöy) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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