14/04/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Flint vs Ullern Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
21%
Draw
20%
38%
Away Win
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flint v Ullern — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Flint
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ullern
EU Bookmakers 48%
-42% /
-42%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-4% /
-4%
1.00/3.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.00
-49%
/
-39%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
4
311 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
336 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Flint vs Ullern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ullern edged past Flint 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (41% / 21% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ullern found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Flint vs Ullern?
Flint 2-3 Ullern in the Norway - 3rd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flint vs Ullern?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flint win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Flint 41%, draw 21%, Ullern 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Flint) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Flint)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
14 Apr 2024