Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-2 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 26%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.88/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.85
+47% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 5
18.02.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-1 HT 0-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
2-2
AWAY Sporting Covilha
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting Covilha
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lusitania FC Lourosa and Sporting Covilha shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14 Apr 2024. Half-time: 1-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 53% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 47%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting Covilha?

Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-2 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 50%, draw 27%, Sporting Covilha 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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