Trofense 4-1 Canelas 2010 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
56%
-14.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Canelas 2010 EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.66/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.12
-57% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Canelas 2010
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 1-1 HT 1-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
21.01.2024 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 1-0 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
07.10.2023 Trofense Trofense 1-1 HT 0-1 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
4-1
AWAY Canelas 2010
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Trofense vs Canelas 2010
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Trofense ran out comfortable winners over Canelas 2010 4-1 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14 Apr 2024. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Trofense had 58% of the ball to Canelas 2010's 42%, shots finished 11-10.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Canelas 2010 lead the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Trofense and 1.00 for Canelas 2010.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Canelas 2010?

Trofense 4-1 Canelas 2010 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Canelas 2010?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Trofense 41%, draw 30%, Canelas 2010 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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