Sporting Covilha vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha 0-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa edged past Sporting Covilha 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Covilha at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 48% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 52%, shots finished 13-9.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Sporting Covilha 0-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 41%, draw 24%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Covilha) went the other way.