Amora FC 1-3 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amora FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 55%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.78/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.44
+57% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amora FC
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 3-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
09.08.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-0 HT 1-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
11.02.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
10.12.2022 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-1 HT 0-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amora FC
1-3
AWAY Sporting CP II
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amora FC vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II beat Amora FC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Amora FC had 46% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 54%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Amora FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Amora FC and 1.00 for Sporting CP II.

What was the final score of Amora FC vs Sporting CP II?

Amora FC 1-3 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amora FC vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Amora FC 27%, draw 25%, Sporting CP II 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Under 2.5
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