Alverca 2-0 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alverca EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.26/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/2.47
-3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alverca
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico CP
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.01.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 3-1 HT 3-0 Alverca Alverca POR3
24.09.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-0 HT 0-0 Alverca Alverca POK
17.09.2023 Alverca Alverca 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca
2-0
AWAY Atletico CP
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alverca vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alverca beat Atletico CP 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Alverca found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alverca had 44% of the ball to Atletico CP's 56%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico CP led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alverca and 1.33 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of Alverca vs Atletico CP?

Alverca 2-0 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alverca vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alverca 40%, draw 29%, Atletico CP 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alverca), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alverca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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