Pero Pinheiro 3-2 Oliveira Hospital — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
28%
+11.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pero Pinheiro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -64% / -64%
1.01/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-14% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pero Pinheiro
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
07.01.2024 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
17.09.2023 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-1 HT 1-1 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pero Pinheiro
3-2
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pero Pinheiro vs Oliveira Hospital
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pero Pinheiro edged past Oliveira Hospital 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Pero Pinheiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pero Pinheiro had 48% of the ball to Oliveira Hospital's 52%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pero Pinheiro had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pero Pinheiro and 0.50 for Oliveira Hospital.

What was the final score of Pero Pinheiro vs Oliveira Hospital?

Pero Pinheiro 3-2 Oliveira Hospital in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pero Pinheiro vs Oliveira Hospital?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pero Pinheiro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pero Pinheiro 40%, draw 22%, Oliveira Hospital 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pero Pinheiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pero Pinheiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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