Bournemouth vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bournemouth v Fulham — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Fulham
İNP
2-1
HT 0-1
Fulham
İNP
2-2
HT 1-2
Bournemouth
İNP
1-1
HT 0-0
Fulham
İNCL
Bournemouth 1-0 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics
Bournemouth nicked a narrow win over Fulham 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Bournemouth made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Bournemouth had 41% of the ball to Fulham's 59%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.44 to 1.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bournemouth and 1.50 for Fulham.
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Fulham?
Bournemouth 1-0 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Fulham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 38%, draw 28%, Fulham 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth) — a clean sweep of the main markets.