Crotone vs Foggia Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crotone v Foggia Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Crotone vs Foggia Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Foggia Calcio
İTC
2-2
HT 2-0
Foggia Calcio
İTC
1-0
HT 0-0
Crotone
İTC
1-1
HT 0-0
Foggia Calcio
İTC
Crotone 3-2 Foggia Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Crotone edged past Foggia Calcio 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Crotone had 56% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 44%, shots finished 11-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Crotone and 1.33 for Foggia Calcio.
What was the final score of Crotone vs Foggia Calcio?
Crotone 3-2 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crotone vs Foggia Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Crotone 54%, draw 25%, Foggia Calcio 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone) — while BTTS No went the other way.