Foggia Calcio 1-1 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Nov 2024

Foggia Calcio
1-1 HT 1-1
Crotone
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Foggia Calcio vs Crotone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.95
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.8
6+ Goals
12%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 31% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Foggia Calcio v Crotone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.40/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.60
+21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
231 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Foggia Calcio vs Crotone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crotone
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.02.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
21.10.2023 Crotone Crotone 2-1 HT 1-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
31.05.2023 Crotone Crotone 2-2 HT 2-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
27.05.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
11.02.2023 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
16.11.2022 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Crotone Crotone İTCK

Foggia Calcio 1-1 Crotone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
1-1
AWAY Crotone
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foggia Calcio and Crotone couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 39% of the ball to Crotone's 61%, shots finished 7-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Foggia Calcio and 1.00 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs Crotone?

Foggia Calcio 1-1 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foggia Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 38%, draw 26%, Crotone 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Foggia Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Foggia Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5
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