Benevento 1-1 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 26%
+19% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
2.21/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.47
+56% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2024 Benevento Benevento 1-1 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
08.10.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
1-1
AWAY Audace Cerignola
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento and Audace Cerignola shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Benevento at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Benevento had 53% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 47%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Benevento and 0.50 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Audace Cerignola?

Benevento 1-1 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Benevento 47%, draw 27%, Audace Cerignola 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Benevento), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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