SonderjyskE 1-0 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 14 Apr 2025

SonderjyskE
1-0 HT 1-0
Vejle
📅14/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

SonderjyskE vs Vejle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 24.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.48
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
13%
5.54
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
6.24
X/X
11%
4.67
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.2
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · X/2 at 6.24 — our 20% vs market 12.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SonderjyskE v Vejle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
0.97/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.17
-21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.7 Crosses 21.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

SonderjyskE vs Vejle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vejle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
340 Passes 289
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
22.09.2024 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-1 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
06.09.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAK
11.05.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN1
01.04.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-2 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
14.11.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN1

SonderjyskE 1-0 Vejle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
1-0
AWAY Vejle
0.64 xG 0.73
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
302 Passes 390
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE nicked a narrow win over Vejle 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; SonderjyskE found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 44% of the ball to Vejle's 56%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.64 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SonderjyskE and 1.00 for Vejle.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Vejle?

SonderjyskE 1-0 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vejle win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 34%, draw 26%, Vejle 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vejle) ✗ BTTS Yes
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