Mushuc Runa 1-0 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.04/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.29
-24% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.9 Crosses 16.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.45
42% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
200 Passes 335
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
04.05.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
03.12.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-1 HT 2-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
18.06.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-2 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
10.09.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-2 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
24.04.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-2 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
1-0
AWAY LDU Quito
0.52 xG 0.98
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
138 Passes 389
59% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa nicked a narrow win over LDU Quito 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Mushuc Runa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 34% of the ball to LDU Quito's 66%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.52 to 0.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured LDU Quito.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mushuc Runa and 2.00 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito?

Mushuc Runa 1-0 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 33%, draw 28%, LDU Quito 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (LDU Quito) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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