LDU Quito 1-1 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.88
No
42%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.4pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.74/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.76
+2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 74%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
21.0 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.45 xG 0.95
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
366 Passes 218
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-1 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
03.12.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-1 HT 2-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
18.06.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-2 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
10.09.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-2 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
24.04.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-2 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
17.03.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
1-1
AWAY Mushuc Runa
0.97 xG 1.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
215 Passes 123
73% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito and Mushuc Runa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had LDU Quito at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, LDU Quito had 59% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 41%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.97 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for LDU Quito and 1.17 for Mushuc Runa.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa?

LDU Quito 1-1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 57%, draw 24%, Mushuc Runa 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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