Uni. Catolica 2-0 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 26 Oct 2024

Uni. Catolica
2-0 HT 0-0
Emelec
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Uni. Catolica vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Emelec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.84/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.68
+17% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 71%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
19.7 Crosses 13.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Uni. Catolica vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Emelec
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.50 xG 1.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 329
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.05.2024 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
29.10.2023 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
21.05.2023 Uni. Catolica 3-2 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
17.10.2022 Uni. Catolica 2-0 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
22.05.2022 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
27.09.2021 Emelec Emelec 2-2 HT 1-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1

Uni. Catolica 2-0 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
2-0
AWAY Emelec
1.91 xG 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
313 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Emelec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica got the better of Emelec 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 53% of the ball to Emelec's 47%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.91 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.33 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Emelec?

Uni. Catolica 2-0 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 54%, draw 21%, Emelec 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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