Awassa Kenema 1-0 Welayta Dicha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.33
Over 2.5
30%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.4
No
68%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.3pp
70%
Under 2.5
72%
-1.9pp
30%
Over 2.5
28%
+1.9pp
32%
BTTS Yes
38%
-5.4pp
68%
BTTS No
62%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.76/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.72
-31% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -46%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Awassa Kenema
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Welayta Dicha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2024 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha 1-1 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Awassa Kenema
1-0
AWAY Welayta Dicha
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Awassa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema squeezed past Welayta Dicha 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Awassa Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Awassa Kenema had 42% of the ball to Welayta Dicha's 58%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Awassa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Awassa Kenema 1-0 Welayta Dicha in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Awassa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Welayta Dicha win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Awassa Kenema 32%, draw 31%, Welayta Dicha 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Welayta Dicha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Welayta Dicha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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