Sidama Bunna 1-0 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.5pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+3.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sidama Bunna EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 46%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.55
+129% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sidama Bunna
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bahardar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
30.10.2024 Bahardar Bahardar 2-0 Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna ETH
04.07.2024 Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna 2-1 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sidama Bunna
1-0
AWAY Bahardar
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 10
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sidama Bunna squeezed past Bahardar 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bahardar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sidama Bunna had 43% of the ball to Bahardar's 57%, shots finished 4-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sidama Bunna and 1.50 for Bahardar.

What was the final score of Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar?

Sidama Bunna 1-0 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sidama Bunna 24%, draw 31%, Bahardar 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bahardar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahardar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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